Demand Forecasting & PlanningDemand Planner15 min read

The Planner’s Guide to Capturing Events and Seasonality Impact on Demand Predictions for $10M–$100M Companies

Demand planners in $10M–$100M companies often struggle to incorporate seasonal demand cycles and promotional events into forecasts. This guide outlines how planners can operationalize event-aware demand forecasting workflows.

Planning Complexity Increases at $10M–$100M

Demand planners in mid-market companies frequently encounter increasing variability driven by seasonal peaks, promotional campaigns, and channel expansion. However, many planning workflows remain optimized for stable demand environments.

Improving forecast accuracy requires planners to redesign how event-driven demand variability is captured.

Event-aware planning improves forecast reliability.

Integrating Commercial Calendars

Planners should integrate promotional schedules, product launches, and seasonal campaigns into forecasting workflows.

This improves visibility into upcoming demand drivers and reduces reliance on manual adjustments.

Separating Baseline Demand

Baseline demand should be modeled independently from promotional uplift.

This enables planners to isolate structural demand patterns tied to consumption.

Quantifying Seasonal Uplift

Seasonal demand cycles should be quantified using historical performance during similar commercial events.

This enables planners to anticipate demand variability across SKU portfolios.

Uplift modeling improves procurement alignment.

Simulating Demand Scenarios

Scenario modeling enables planners to evaluate multiple demand outcomes tied to upcoming campaigns.

Inventory positioning can then be aligned proactively with anticipated consumption patterns.

Monitoring Forecast Performance

Tracking fulfillment performance during promotional windows helps evaluate forecast effectiveness.

Continuous monitoring supports planning maturity and reduces manual overrides.

Planning Design Drives Forecast Maturity

For demand planners in $10M–$100M companies, capturing seasonal demand variability requires structured workflows.

Modern planning systems enable scalable event-aware forecasting aligned with commercial calendars.

Discover how AI-native planning supports demand planners in capturing event-driven variability.

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