How to Fix Moving Seasonality vs Fixed Seasonality in Demand Forecasting in 90 Days for $10M–$100M Companies
A 90-day roadmap for mid-market companies to transition from fixed to adaptive seasonal forecasting.
Mid-Market Planning Cannot Afford Multi-Year Transformation Programs
Companies scaling between $10M and $100M in annual revenue often operate with lean planning teams and limited analytics resources. Traditional enterprise transformation timelines spanning multiple quarters or years are impractical.
A structured 90-day approach can enable mid-market brands to transition from fixed seasonal assumptions to adaptive moving seasonality forecasting.
Days 0–30: Diagnose Seasonal Misalignment
Compare historical demand peaks against promotional calendars and marketing campaign schedules.
Identify SKUs where consumption windows have shifted relative to prior-year seasonal timing.
Days 30–60: Segment Demand Drivers
Categorize SKUs by stable demand, promotion-driven demand, lifecycle-driven demand, and channel-specific demand.
Apply adaptive seasonal modeling selectively.
Days 60–75: Align Procurement Timing
Translate updated seasonal forecasts into procurement schedules that align inventory arrival with expected consumption periods.
Adjust safety stock policies.
Days 75–90: Implement Scenario Planning
Simulate alternative promotional timing and marketing spend scenarios.
Evaluate impact on seasonal demand timing.
Ongoing Monitoring
Track inventory turnover and service levels during promotional periods.
Continuous monitoring supports alignment.
Rapid Seasonality Improvement Is Achievable
For mid-market companies, transitioning to moving seasonality forecasting within 90 days improves alignment between supply and shifting demand patterns.
AI-native planning systems accelerate implementation timelines.
Fix seasonal forecasting in 90 days.
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